Description

This analysis provides a forecast of QNT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 85.194911 94.321664 103.667570 113.931254 124.863905 136.139448 148.625809
2025-06-08 68.770380 82.072090 96.359249 112.749479 130.936410 150.406491 172.733134
2025-06-15 61.905880 77.689927 95.183294 115.814827 139.289569 164.985149 195.053160
2025-06-22 55.127238 72.493396 92.300531 116.244418 144.089681 175.152318 212.121959
2025-06-29 49.811487 68.355792 90.059516 116.870754 148.642093 184.656558 228.128469
2025-07-06 43.689015 62.668656 85.476922 114.270946 149.028100 189.042080 237.995824
2025-07-13 41.419756 61.515124 86.164098 117.799436 156.517196 201.602461 257.303608
2025-07-20 38.796857 59.668039 85.795277 119.872610 162.137438 211.890880 273.929963
2025-07-27 36.156610 57.578266 84.938445 121.185801 166.717513 220.870464 288.982739
2025-08-03 34.913123 57.241384 86.237457 125.144613 174.520797 233.729722 308.713483
2025-08-10 32.737076 55.462797 85.526838 126.435621 178.933178 242.443280 323.465516
2025-08-17 29.606106 52.127576 82.569204 124.659461 179.355737 246.181463 332.128339
2025-08-24 26.918381 49.293611 80.199905 123.614377 180.727709 251.174759 342.486939
2025-08-31 24.759638 47.092893 78.585208 123.484394 183.225555 257.560701 354.597118
2025-09-07 23.806175 46.634222 79.339834 126.496458 189.777932 269.031689 373.031505
2025-09-14 22.158546 44.982519 78.310195 127.006385 193.007631 276.293193 386.245056
2025-09-21 20.687771 43.501098 77.437184 127.659779 196.377562 283.710264 399.659378
2025-09-28 18.399237 40.515281 74.213457 124.901240 195.086482 285.078924 405.399574
2025-10-05 18.002374 40.650536 75.608726 128.647774 202.550126 297.748478 425.493314
2025-10-12 17.237910 40.102169 75.934527 130.848504 207.918425 307.726208 442.214443
2025-10-19 16.327296 39.233189 75.722179 132.242017 212.172019 316.261341 457.128069
2025-10-26 16.130614 39.616157 77.439562 136.441361 220.299948 329.903400 478.651919
2025-11-02 15.302044 38.796732 77.237173 137.810266 224.516629 338.426876 493.636682